2010 Prediction: Lee Caswell, Pivot3 - Page 2

Lee Caswell (Profile)
Thursday, December 10th 2009

Therefore, it is my prediction that the third big wave will come in 2016, or in roughly half the time of this second wave.  I see the third wave tied to the application of virtualization to the next-highest volume markets such as desktops, mobile devices and consumer appliances.  While x86 server volumes look large relative to mainframe servers, they pale when compared with any consumer volumes.  I will be looking to see virtualization applied to these consumer and mobile devices when they meet the critical 4x threshold in 2016 based on the advances of Moore’s Law.